204
ABPZ20 KNHC 050555
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI JUL 4 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP96):
SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE THAT A LARGE AREA OF
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATE
THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATE NEXT WEEK. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER GIBBS/ROBERTS
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