105
ABPZ20 KNHC 051138
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT JUL 5 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP96):
A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
LIKELY TO FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATE NEXT WEEK. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER BROWN
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