513  
ABPZ20 KNHC 051741  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 AM PDT SAT JUL 5 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP96):  
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES  
SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF  
LOW PRESSURE. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED  
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO  
FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
 
SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF  
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATE NEXT WEEK. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS  
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER BROWN  
 
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