984  
ABPZ20 KNHC 052306  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 PM PDT SAT JUL 5 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP96):  
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES  
SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW  
PRESSURE. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED DURING  
THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM BY  
EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL OFF  
THE COAST OF MEXICO. BY EARLY TUESDAY, THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED  
TO REACH COOLER WATER, ENDING ITS OPPORTUNITY FOR DEVELOPMENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.  
 
SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF  
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATE NEXT WEEK. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS  
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER HAGEN  
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