984
ABPZ20 KNHC 052306
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT JUL 5 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP96):
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL OFF
THE COAST OF MEXICO. BY EARLY TUESDAY, THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED
TO REACH COOLER WATER, ENDING ITS OPPORTUNITY FOR DEVELOPMENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATE NEXT WEEK. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER HAGEN
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