769  
ABPZ20 KNHC 071742  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 AM PDT MON JUL 7 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP96):  
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW  
PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE  
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IS LIMITED THIS  
MORNING. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWARD INTO LESS FAVORABLE  
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, AND ITS CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT IS  
DECREASING.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
 
SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF  
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATE THIS WEEK. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED TO BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT, AND WHILE SOME  
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE, IT IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY AS THE  
LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL OFF THE  
COAST OF MEXICO.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER KELLY  
 
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