605  
ABPZ20 KNHC 072322  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 PM PDT MON JUL 7 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP96):  
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW  
PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP  
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA HAS DECREASED SINCE EARLIER TODAY.  
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWARD INTO INCREASINGLY HOSTILE  
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NO  
LONGER EXPECTED.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
 
SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF  
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATE THIS WEEK. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED TO ONLY BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS  
SYSTEM AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST, WELL OFF THE COAST OF  
MEXICO.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER JELSEMA  
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