839
AXPZ20 KNHC 090201
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED JUL 9 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.
..TROPICAL WAVES
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 96W NORTH OF 05N, MOVING
WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 TO 15 KT. NEARBY CONVECTION IS DISCUSSED
IN THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION BELOW.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 110W NORTH OF 05N, MOVING
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KT. NEARBY CONVECTION IS DISCUSSED IN THE
ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION BELOW.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 120W FROM 06N TO 21N, MOVING
WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 KT. NEARBY CONVECTION IS DISCUSSED IN THE
ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION BELOW.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09.5N85W TO 09.5N98W TO 13N114W
TO 10N121W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 10N121W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 06N TO 15N
BETWEEN 94W AND 121W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC,
WITH MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SEAS
ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO, AND 1-3
FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY WED MORNING. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THU
THROUGH FRI NIGHT. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL BE OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE THROUGH THU NIGHT, LOCALLY STRONG WED NIGHT JUST
S OF PUNTA BAJA. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE. MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF
04N. S OF 04N, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE
4-6 FT RANGE.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
WILL DIMINISH WED MORNING, PULSING TO MODERATE TO FRESH
THEREAFTER. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL.
MODERATE SEAS IN S TO SW SWELL WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGIONAL
WATERS DURING THE PERIOD, BUILDING NEAR ROUGH S OF THE GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SEAS ARE
MAINLY 4-6 FT ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS, EXCEPT TO 7 FT S OF 17N AND
W OF 130W, AS WELL AS ELSEWHERE S OF 02N AND W OF 105W.
FOR THE FORECAST, CROSS EQUATORIAL, ROUGH SOUTHERLY SWELL WILL
MOVE INTO AND COVER THE WATERS S OF 06N AND W OF 100W WED THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH A REINFORCING SET THIS WEEKEND. SEAS
MAY BUILD TO NEAR 8 FT IN FRESH N SWELL ALONG 30N BETWEEN 120W
AND 130W AT THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL
FRESHEN S OF THE ITCZ TONIGHT, PERSISTING INTO THE WEEKEND. WINDS
WILL PULSE TO MODERATE TO FRESH IN THE W-CENTRAL AND NW WATERS
THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE OPEN WATERS.
AL
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