564
AXPZ20 KNHC 091558
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED JUL 9 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.
..TROPICAL WAVES
A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 82W NORTH OF 05N, MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15
KT. NEARBY CONVECTION IS DISCUSSED IN THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH
SECTION BELOW.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 102W NORTH OF 05N, MOVING
WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS EVIDENT FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 95W AND 107W.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 114W NORTH OF 05N, MOVING
WESTWARD AT 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS EVIDENT FROM
14N TO 16N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 123W FROM 06N TO 21N, MOVING
WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 TO 15 KT. NEARBY CONVECTION IS DISCUSSED
IN THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION BELOW.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N85W TO 09N95W TO 12N115W TO
09N125W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 09N125W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 03N TO 07N
BETWEEN 78W AND 85W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC,
WITH MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS ARE WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SEAS ARE
IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO, AND 1-3 FT
IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THIS MORNING. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THU
THROUGH FRI NIGHT. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL BE OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE THROUGH THU NIGHT, LOCALLY STRONG WED NIGHT JUST
S OF PUNTA BAJA. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE. MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF 04N. S OF
04N, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT
RANGE, REACHING 7 FT BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO WILL DIMINISH TODAY, PULSING TO MODERATE THEREAFTER.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL.
MODERATE SEAS IN S TO SW SWELL WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGIONAL
WATERS DURING THE PERIOD, BUILDING TO ROUGH S OF THE GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SEAS ARE
MAINLY 4-6 FT ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS, EXCEPT TO 7 FT S OF 17N AND
W OF 130W, AS WELL AS ELSEWHERE S OF 02N AND W OF 105W.
FOR THE FORECAST, CROSS EQUATORIAL, ROUGH SOUTHERLY SWELL WILL
MOVE INTO AND COVER THE WATERS S OF 06N AND W OF 100W THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH A REINFORCING SET THIS WEEKEND. SEAS
MAY BUILD TO NEAR 8 FT IN FRESH N SWELL ALONG 30N BETWEEN 120W
AND 130W AT THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL
FRESHEN S OF THE ITCZ TODAY, PERSISTING INTO THE WEEKEND.
CHRISTENSEN/AL
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