102  
ABNT20 KNHC 140503  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
200 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2025  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:  
 
NORTHEASTERN GULF:  
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFFSHORE THE ATLANTIC COAST OF  
NORTHERN FLORIDA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
ACROSS PORTIONS OF FLORIDA, THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND ADJACENT  
ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS  
FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, AND INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF BY  
LATE TUESDAY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE ENOUGH TO  
SUPPORT SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WHILE IT MOVES  
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN AND  
NORTH-CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE GULF DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART  
OF THIS WEEK. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, HEAVY RAINFALL COULD  
PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF FLORIDA AND THE  
NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PORTION OF  
THIS WEEK.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER HAGEN  
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