868  
ABNT20 KNHC 162322  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
800 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2025  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:  
 
NORTHEASTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL GULF (AL93):  
SURFACE AND RADAR OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A WESTWARD-MOVING BROAD  
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BE LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF THE  
WESTERN PART OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND  
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND LOCATED SOUTH TO  
SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING  
WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF TONIGHT, AND IS  
EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOUISIANA COAST BY THURSDAY. IF THIS SYSTEM  
MOVES FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OVER THE GULF  
APPEAR GENERALLY FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE  
SYSTEM MOVES FULLY INLAND BY THE END OF THE WEEK.  
 
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, HEAVY RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED  
FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND CONTINUING FOR  
PORTIONS OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. FOR  
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION, PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE  
WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER AND YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
OFFICE.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
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