986  
ABNT20 KNHC 170517  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
200 AM EDT THU JUL 17 2025  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:  
 
NORTHEASTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL GULF (AL93):  
RECENT SATELLITE WIND DATA, IN COMBINATION WITH SURFACE AND RADAR  
OBSERVATIONS, INDICATE THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER  
THE FAR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF REMAINS QUITE DISORGANIZED. IN  
ADDITION, THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS  
DISPLACED WELL WEST OF THE BROAD CENTER. WHILE SOME ADDITIONAL  
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 12-24  
HOURS, ITS CURRENT STRUCTURE SUGGESTS ITS CHANCES OF DEVELOPING INTO  
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE IT REACHES THE LOUISIANA COAST LATER  
TODAY ARE DECREASING.  
 
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, HEAVY RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED  
FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST THROUGH  
FRIDAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION, PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED  
BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER AND YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
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