275
ABNT20 KNHC 031740
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
WESTERN ATLANTIC (AL95):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. WHILE SATELLITE WIND DATA SHOW THAT
THE LOW IS NOW PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS, THE SYSTEM REMAINS
ATTACHED TO A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. HOWEVER, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE CONDUCIVE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO ACQUIRE ADDITIONAL TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS, AND A TROPICAL STORM IS LIKELY TO FORM BY MONDAY
WELL EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION,
INCLUDING GALE WARNINGS, PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC:
A TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA BY
LATE MONDAY. THEREAFTER, SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE WAVE IS
POSSIBLE, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATE THIS WEEK WHILE
IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL TROPICAL
ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM IN A COUPLE OF DAYS A FEW HUNDRED
MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAROLINAS. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE BY MIDWEEK AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS TO THE
NORTHWEST.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1, WMO HEADER FZNT01
KWBC, AND ONLINE AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFAT1.PHP
FORECASTER BLAKE
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