197  
ABNT20 KNHC 051134  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 5 2025  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:  
 
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:  
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL  
STORM DEXTER, LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN.  
 
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES:  
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH CURRENTLY LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF  
THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES IS EXPECTED TO FORM AN  
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN A DAY OR SO. THEREAFTER, ENVIRONMENTAL  
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM,  
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE LATTER PORTION OF THIS  
WEEK OR WEEKEND AS AS THE LOW INITIALLY MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD, BUT  
TURNS MORE NORTHWARD BY THIS WEEKEND.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
 
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC:  
A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS CURRENTLY  
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY, PRIMARILY  
TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE WAVE AXIS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE  
FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATE THIS WEEK OR OVER  
THE WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS  
THE CENTRAL TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
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