754
ABNT20 KNHC 051749
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM DEXTER, LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN.
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES:
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST OF
THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP FROM THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO, WHERE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR GENERALLY FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE LATTER PORTION
OF THIS WEEK OR WEEKEND AS THE LOW STARTS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD,
BUT TURNS MORE NORTHWARD BY THIS WEEKEND.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC:
A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS CURRENTLY
PRODUCING A DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM LATE THIS WEEK OR OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PAPIN
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