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ABNT20 KNHC 052321
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM DEXTER, LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN.
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES:
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST OF
THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM
THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO, AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR GENERALLY FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE LATTER PORTION OF THIS WEEK OR THIS
WEEKEND AS THE LOW STARTS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD, BUT TURNS MORE
NORTHWARD BY THIS WEEKEND.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC:
A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS CURRENTLY
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATE
THIS WEEK OR OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL
ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PASCH
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