738  
FOPZ14 KNHC 070844  
PWSEP4  
 
TROPICAL STORM IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092025  
0900 UTC THU AUG 07 2025  
 
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
15N 110W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
20N 110W 34 X 23(23) 57(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)  
20N 110W 50 X 1( 1) 32(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)  
20N 110W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 8( 8) 42(50) 1(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52)  
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)  
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17)  
 
20N 115W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 25(30) 22(52) 1(53) X(53)  
20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) X(16) X(16)  
20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)  
 
20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11)  
 
25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)  
 
 
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