747
WTPZ24 KNHC 072052
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092025
2100 UTC THU AUG 07 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 105.8W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 18 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 45SE 60SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 105.8W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 105.0W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.1N 108.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.1N 110.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 5SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.5N 112.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.6N 114.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.7N 115.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.9N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 22.5N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 105.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
FORECASTER PAPIN
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