620
ABNT20 KNHC 080520
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 8 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES:
A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN A DAY OR
SO A FEW HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF NORTH CAROLINA. SOME TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND WHILE THE SYSTEM
MOVES NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE GULF STREAM. BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH COLDER WATER AND AN
AREA OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS, ENDING ITS CHANCES FOR TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
CENTRAL ATLANTIC (AL96):
A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
APPEARS UNLIKELY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO, BUT ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE IN A FEW DAYS. A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK
WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL TROPICAL AND SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
FORECASTER BUCCI
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