946
ABNT20 KNHC 100528
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL97):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE, ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE, IS
PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
JUST TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM BY THE
MIDDLE TO LATTER PORTION OF THIS WEEK WHILE MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
TROPICAL ATLANTIC. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE TODAY AND MONDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
CENTRAL ATLANTIC (AL96):
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM APPEARS UNLIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS DUE TO SURROUNDING DRY AIR, BUT SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THIS WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES
NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PASCH
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