544
ABNT20 KNHC 110534
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL97):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION
IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED NEAR
THE NORTHWESTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BECOME
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO WHILE IT MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CABO VERDE
ISLANDS, AND INTERESTS THERE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
EVEN IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOES NOT FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO,
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR LATER DEVELOPMENT, AND
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO FORM BY THE
MIDDLE TO LATTER PORTION OF THIS WEEK WHILE MOVING WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
CENTRAL ATLANTIC (AL96):
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THIS
WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PASCH
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