563
ABNT20 KNHC 112305
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ERIN, LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS.
NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC:
A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NOVA SCOTIA, CANADA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO THE WEST OF ITS CENTER. SOME
LIMITED TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE LOW DRIFTS WESTWARD NEAR THE RELATIVELY WARM
WATERS OF THE GULF STREAM. BY THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK, THE SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVER COOLER WATERS, ENDING ITS CHANCES
FOR FURTHER TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
CENTRAL ATLANTIC:
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC IS INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE, PRODUCING
SCATTERED DISORGANIZED SHOWERS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
EXPECTED AS IT DRIFTS GENERALLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
NORTHEASTERN GULF:
A SURFACE TROUGH IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT ANTICIPATED BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND
ON TUESDAY, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE, SOUTHERN ALABAMA, SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. FOR
MORE INFORMATION ON THE RAINFALL HAZARDS RELATED TO THIS SYSTEM,
PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ERIN ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER
WTNT35 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT5. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL STORM ERIN ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT25 KNHC AND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT5.
FORECASTER HAGEN
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