839
ABNT20 KNHC 121726
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ERIN, LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS.
NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC:
A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHEAST OF NOVA SCOTIA, CANADA, IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO THE WEST OF ITS CENTER. SOME LIMITED
TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW MEANDERS NEAR THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE
GULF STREAM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVER COOLER
WATERS LATER ON WEDNESDAY, ENDING ITS CHANCES FOR TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
NORTH-CENTRAL GULF:
A SURFACE TROUGH NEAR THE COASTS OF LOUISIANA, MISSISSIPPI, AND
ALABAMA IS PRODUCING A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT ANTICIPATED
BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT, LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. FOR MORE INFORMATION
ON THE RAINFALL HAZARDS RELATED TO THIS SYSTEM, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
FORECASTER BERG
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