048
WTNT25 KNHC 131500
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025
1500 UTC WED AUG 13 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 43.4W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 30SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 43.4W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 42.7W
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.3N 45.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.6N 48.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.4N 51.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.2N 54.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.0N 57.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.9N 60.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 21.7N 64.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 110NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 23.9N 67.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 43.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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