063
ABNT20 KNHC 131732
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED AUG 13 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ERIN, LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
SOUTHWESTERN GULF:
A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND CROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AFTER IT EMERGES ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF
BEGINNING ON THURSDAY WHILE IT MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15
MPH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO
BY LATE FRIDAY, WHICH SHOULD DIMINISH ITS CHANCES OF DEVELOPMENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
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