988
FZNT25 KNHC 141456
OFFN04
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL
1056 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2025
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...
SOUTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS
BROAD LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE IS
PRODUCING A SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH FRESH NE WINDS. THIS
LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO, WHERE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR SOUTHERN TEXAS BY LATE FRIDAY, ENDING ITS
CHANCES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS
OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF TROPICAL FORMATION OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS. OTHERWISE, GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE BASIN AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES.
THIS AFTERNOON
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
TONIGHT
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. ISOLATED TSTMS.
FRI
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. CHANCE OF
TSTMS.
FRI NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SAT NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
MON
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA
SYNOPSIS
TROPICAL STORM ERIN IS NEAR 16.4N 49.7W AT 11 AM
EDT, AND IS MOVING WEST AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
999 MB. ERIN WILL MOVE TO 16.9N 51.9W THIS EVENING, STRENGTHEN
TO A HURRICANE NEAR 17.8N 55.0W FRI MORNING, 18.6N 57.9W FRI
EVENING, 19.4N 60.7W SAT MORNING, 20.3N 63.1W SAT EVENING, AND
21.3N 65.1W SUN MORNING. ERIN WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS
IT MOVES TO 23.5N 68.0W BY EARLY MON. ELSEWHERE, A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MAINLY
SLIGHT SEAS INTO THE WEEKEND.
THIS AFTERNOON
SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
TONIGHT
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
FRI
E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
FRI NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SAT NIGHT
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN NIGHT
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS, BUILDING TO
3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MON
N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
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