429
FZNT25 KNHC 142054
OFFN04
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL
454 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2025
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...
SOUTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS
THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, WHERE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BEFORE THIS SYSTEM
MOVES INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR SOUTHERN TEXAS BY LATE
FRIDAY ENDING ITS CHANCES FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. REGARDLESS
OF DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG
PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL FORMATION OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. OTHERWISE, GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE BASIN AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES.
TONIGHT
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. ISOLATED TSTMS.
FRI
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. CHANCE OF
TSTMS.
FRI NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
MON
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
TUE
N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA
SYNOPSIS
TROPICAL STORM ERIN IS NEAR 16.7N 51.2W AT 5 PM EDT,
AND IS MOVING WEST AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB.
ERIN WILL MOVE TO 17.3N 53.5W FRI MORNING, STRENGTHEN TO A
HURRICANE NEAR 18.1N 56.6W FRI AFTERNOON, 19.0N 59.5W SAT
MORNING, 19.8N 62.2W SAT AFTERNOON, 20.8N 64.4W SUN MORNING, AND
21.7N 66.1W SUN AFTERNOON. ERIN WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY
AS IT MOVES TO 24.2N 68.9W BY MON AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE, A WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND
MAINLY SLIGHT SEAS INTO THE WEEKEND.
TONIGHT
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
FRI
E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
FRI NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SAT NIGHT
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN NIGHT
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS, BUILDING TO
3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MON
N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
TUE
NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT S OF 27N, AND N 10 TO 15 KT N OF 27N.
SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN E SWELL.
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