458
FZNT25 KNHC 150326
OFFN04
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL
1126 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2025
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...
SOUTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS SHOWING SOME
SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION WITH A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF. AN EARLIER AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
MISSION FOUND THAT THE SYSTEM LACKS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO,
AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR GENERALLY FAVORABLE FOR
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BEFORE
THIS SYSTEM MOVES INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR SOUTHERN
TEXAS BY LATE FRIDAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND
SOUTHERN TEXAS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE
OF TROPICAL FORMATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. OTHERWISE, GENTLE
WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE BASIN AS WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES.
OVERNIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
FRI
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
FRI NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SAT
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT NIGHT
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
MON
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
TUE
N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
TUE NIGHT
N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA
SYNOPSIS
TROPICAL STORM ERIN IS NEAR 17.1N 52.7W AT 11 PM
EDT, AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 998 MB. ERIN WILL STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 17.8N
55.2W FRI MORNING, MOVE TO 18.6N 58.3W FRI EVENING, 19.4N 61.0W
SAT MORNING, 20.3N 63.3W SAT EVENING, 21.3N 65.4W SUN MORNING, AND
22.4N 67.0W SUN EVENING. ERIN WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS
IT MOVES NEAR 25.0N 69.4W LATE MON. ELSEWHERE, A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MAINLY SLIGHT
SEAS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
OVERNIGHT
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
FRI
E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
FRI NIGHT
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N, AND SE 5 TO 10 KT N OF
27N. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SAT
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SAT NIGHT
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN NIGHT
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS, BUILDING TO
3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MON
N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
TUE
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
TUE NIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
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