946
FZNT25 KNHC 150930
OFFN04
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL
530 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...
SOUTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS
THE DISTURBANCE LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF
CONTINUES TO LACK A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER,
SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED SOME OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND
THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE
IT MOVES INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR SOUTHERN TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON OR EVENING. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND
SOUTHERN TEXAS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND INTERESTS THERE
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE OF TROPICAL FORMATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. OTHERWISE,
GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE BASIN AS
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES.
TODAY
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
TONIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SAT
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT NIGHT
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
MON
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
TUE
N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
TUE NIGHT
N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA
SYNOPSIS
TROPICAL STORM ERIN IS NEAR 17.8N 54.4W AT 5 AM EDT,
AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
997 MB. ERIN WILL STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 18.4N 56.9W THIS
AFTERNOON, MOVE TO 19.3N 59.9W SAT MORNING, 20.1N 62.5W SAT
AFTERNOON, 21.0N 64.8W SUN MORNING, 22.2N 66.9W SUN AFTERNOON, AND
23.2N 68.5W MON MORNING. ERIN WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS
IT MOVES NEAR 25.5N 70.5W EARLY TUE. ELSEWHERE, A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MAINLY SLIGHT
SEAS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TODAY
E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
TONIGHT
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N, AND SE 5 TO 10 KT N OF
27N. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SAT NIGHT
E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SUN NIGHT
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS, BUILDING TO
3 TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MON
N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN E SWELL.
TUE
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
TUE NIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
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