708  
FZNT26 KNHC 161523  
OFFN05  
 
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL  
1123 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2025  
 
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE  
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED  
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...  
   
SYNOPSIS  
MAJOR HURRICANE ERIN IS NEAR 19.7N 62.8W, OR ABOUT  
200 NM ENE OF SAN JUAN, PUERTO RICO AT 11 AM EDT. IT IS MOVING  
WEST AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO  
165 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 923 MB. ERIN WILL  
MOVE TO NEAR 20.1N 64.7W THIS EVENING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS 145 KT GUSTS 175 KT, TO NEAR 21.0N 66.8W SUN MORNING, AND  
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 22.3N 68.5W SUN  
EVENING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT GUSTS 165 KT, THEN  
MOVE TO NEAR 23.5N 69.7W MON MORNING, TO NEAR 24.9N 70.4W MON  
EVENING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT AND TO  
NEAR 26.4N 70.9W TUE MORNING. ERIN IS FORECAST TO CHANGE LITTLE  
IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 30.6N 70.9W EARLY ON WED.  
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF ERIN IS EXPECTED TO  
MOVE JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS, THE VIRGIN  
ISLANDS, AND PUERTO RICO OVER THE WEEKEND. SWELLS GENERATED BY  
ERIN WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS, THE  
VIRGIN ISLANDS, PUERTO RICO, HISPANIOLA, AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS  
ISLANDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE ATLANTIC AND  
CARIBBEAN PASSAGES THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. MARINERS AND  
VISITORS ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
SAN JUAN ATLANTIC WATERS  
   
..HURRICANE WARNING  
 
   
THIS AFTERNOON  
HURRICANE CONDITIONS. N WINDS 55 TO 60 KT,  
BECOMING NW TO N 100 TO 120 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 TO  
16 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.    
TONIGHT  
HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NW TO N WINDS 100 TO  
120 KT, SHIFTING TO W 90 TO 110 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 TO  
21 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.   
SUN  
HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S TO SW WINDS 110 TO  
130 KT, DIMINISHING TO 90 TO 110 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 TO  
28 FT IN N SWELL. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.   
SUN NIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S TO SW WINDS  
40 TO 45 KT, BECOMING S 30 TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT IN NW  
SWELL. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.    
MON  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT.  
SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
TSTMS.    
MON NIGHT  
S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.    
TUE  
SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.    
TUE NIGHT  
SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.    
WED  
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.  
 
SAN JUAN CARIBBEAN WATERS  
   
THIS AFTERNOON  
W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.  
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.   
TONIGHT  
SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED  
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.    
SUN  
S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.    
SUN NIGHT  
S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.    
MON  
S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.    
MON NIGHT  
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE  
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE NIGHT  
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
WED  
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TPC Page
Main Text Page