470
WTNT25 KNHC 162127
TCMAT5
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22...RESENT
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025
2100 UTC SAT AUG 16 2025
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 64.0W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 915 MB
EYE DIAMETER 5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 90SE 40SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 64.0W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 63.4W
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.4N 65.7W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.4N 67.6W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.7N 69.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.0N 70.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.5N 70.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 140SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.3N 71.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 31.7N 70.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 230SE 180SW 180NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 36.8N 65.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 210SW 200NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 64.0W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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