979  
WTNT25 KNHC 212031  
TCMAT5  
 
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025  
2100 UTC THU AUG 21 2025  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 69.1W AT 21/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.  
64 KT....... 80NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.  
50 KT.......140NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.  
34 KT.......200NE 280SE 200SW 200NW.  
4 M SEAS....480NE 420SE 420SW 320NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 69.1W AT 21/2100Z  
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N 70.1W  
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 38.0N 66.2W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.  
50 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.  
34 KT...260NE 280SE 210SW 240NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 40.0N 61.3W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.  
50 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.  
34 KT...290NE 280SE 210SW 240NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.8N 55.3W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.  
50 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.  
34 KT...290NE 280SE 210SW 240NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 44.7N 47.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 90SE 90SW 40NW.  
50 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.  
34 KT...300NE 340SE 270SW 240NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 47.9N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 90SE 90SW 40NW.  
50 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.  
34 KT...300NE 340SE 270SW 240NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 50.9N 31.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 140SE 180SW 80NW.  
34 KT...290NE 420SE 410SW 210NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 55.8N 22.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 0NE 150SE 140SW 0NW.  
34 KT...240NE 360SE 420SW 300NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 56.9N 20.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT...200NE 340SE 360SW 180NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.4N 69.1W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 22/0000Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z  
 
 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TPC Page
Main Text Page