619
WTPZ22 KNHC 020242
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122025
0300 UTC TUE SEP 02 2025
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 105.4W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 105.4W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 104.8W
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.3N 107.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.7N 109.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.0N 113.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.0N 113.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 26.3N 113.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 28.2N 111.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 105.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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