080
WTPZ22 KNHC 022059
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122025
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC TUE SEP 02 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.0W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.0W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 108.3W
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.6N 110.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.8N 112.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.9N 113.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 5SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 24.1N 113.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 5SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 35NE 20SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 65NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.1N 113.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.2N 113.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 28.4N 111.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 29.9N 110.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 109.0W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 03/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
FORECASTER GALLINA/PAPIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page