703
FOPZ12 KNHC 030854
PWSEP2
HURRICANE LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122025
0900 UTC WED SEP 03 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15)
P ABREOJOS 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 24(34) 17(51) X(51) X(51)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13)
P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
LA PAZ 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
LORETO 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 7(11) 1(12) X(12)
GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10)
20N 110W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
25N 115W 34 X 4( 4) 31(35) 16(51) 2(53) X(53) X(53)
25N 115W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
25N 115W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FORECASTER BEVEN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page