486  
WTPZ22 KNHC 032040  
TCMEP2  
 
HURRICANE LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122025  
2100 UTC WED SEP 03 2025  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 112.4W AT 03/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB  
EYE DIAMETER 5 NM  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.  
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 112.4W AT 03/2100Z  
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 112.1W  
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 23.6N 113.4W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 24.8N 113.9W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 26.0N 113.8W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 27.2N 113.3W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 28.4N 112.5W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 29.3N 111.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 112.4W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 04/0000Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z  
 
 
FORECASTER HAGEN/BROWN  
 
 
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