510  
FOPZ12 KNHC 040250  
PWSEP2  
 
HURRICANE LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122025  
0300 UTC THU SEP 04 2025  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
P ABREOJOS 34 X 6( 6) 18(24) 5(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)  
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
LORETO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
BAHIA KINO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
25N 115W 34 5 28(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)  
25N 115W 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
 
FORECASTER BERG  
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