008
FOPZ11 KNHC 052041
PWSEP1
HURRICANE KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112025
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC FRI SEP 05 2025
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 137.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115
KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 140W 34 70 30(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 140W 50 14 75(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
15N 140W 64 3 65(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
20N 140W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 18(30) 3(33) X(33) X(33)
15N 145W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 16(30) 1(31) X(31)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 59(60) 19(79) X(79)
20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 19(42) X(42)
20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) X(18)
25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 31(64) X(64)
20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 22(27) X(27)
20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 1(18)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
26N 159W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
25N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
FORECASTER ROTH/PAPIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page