319
AXPZ20 KNHC 061533
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SAT SEP 6 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURE
HURRICANE KIKO IS CURRENTLY CENTERED W OF THE AREA NEAR 15.5N
140.5W AS OF 06/1500 UTC. MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 948 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. THE EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM IS STILL AFFECTING OUR FORECAST WATERS,
WITH WINDS TO 50 KT AND SEAS TO 20 FT MAINLY FROM 14N TO 17N AND
W OF 138W. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS FROM 12N TO 17N
AND W OF 137W. THESE CONDITIONS WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT AS THE
SYSTEM CONTINUES MOVING WNW.
PLEASE READ THE LATEST KIKO CPHC FORECAST/ADVISORY AND PUBLIC
ADVISORY AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.
..TROPICAL WAVES
A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 07N TO 17N WITH AXIS NEAR 108W,
MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N
TO 16N BETWEEN 106W AND 114W.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 15N109W TO 15N133W.
ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION FROM KIKO AND THE TROPICAL WAVE,
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
THE REMNANTS OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LORENA ARE ANALYZED AS A
1008 MB LOW PRESSURE W OF CABO SAN LAZARO NEAR 25N115W. THIS LOW
IS PROVIDING MODERATE N TO NE WINDS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO AND
WEST OF THE LOW CENTER WHILE GENTLE S TO SW WINDS ARE ONGOING E
OF THE LOW CENTER BETWEEN 24N AND 27N. SEAS ARE MODERATE IN MIXED
SW AND NW SWELL ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS. IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS
PREVAIL ALONG WITH SLIGHT SEAS. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE LIGHT TO
GENTLE AND SEAS ARE MODERATE IN SW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE REMNANT LOW OF LORENA WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT
NEAR PUNTA EUGENIA AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT TO GENTLE
SPEEDS ACROSS THE BAJA OFFSHORE WATERS. WINDS WILL ALSO DIMINISH
TO LIGHT TO GENTLE SPEEDS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 108W WILL MOVE WESTWARD AND BRING MODERATE
SE WINDS ACROSS THE SW MEXICAN OFFSHORES TODAY. OTHERWISE,
MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA MON EVENING INTO WED AS THE REMNANTS OF A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST, SLIGHTLY INCREASING THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS MAY
PULSE IN TEHUANTEPEC MON AND TUE.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ARE ONGOING ACROSS BOTH THE CENTRAL
AMERICA OFFSHORE WATERS AND THE OFFSHORES BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS. SEAS ARE MODERATE IN SW SWELL. OTHERWISE,
HEAVY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS ARE ONGOING FROM OFFSHORE
COLOMBIA TO OFFSHORE GUATEMALA.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN S
TO SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH WED NIGHT.
OTHERWISE, SCATTERED TO HEAVY SHOWERS ARE FORECAST FOR THE
CENTRAL AMERICA OFFSHORE WATERS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS ON HURRICANE KIKO.
A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1021 MB HIGH NEAR 48N153W
COVERS THE WATERS N OF 20N AND W OF 120W. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT
CROSSES THE RIDGE FROM 30N131W TO 26N137W. THESE TWO FEATURES ARE
PROVIDING MODERATE OR WEAKER N TO NE WINDS N OF 20N AND W OF
120W. MODERATE SEAS ARE ALSO ACROSS THE SUBTROPICAL WATERS.
OTHERWISE, A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 107W IS SUPPORTING MODERATE SW
WINDS S OF THE MONSOON BETWEEN 110W AND 120W.
ELSEWHERE, CONDITIONS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN TROPICAL WATERS THIS EVENING AS KIKO'S STRONG WINDS MOVE
W OF THE AREA. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ARE FORECAST N OF THE
MONSOON AND W OF 110W TONIGHT INTO WED NIGHT. OTHERWISE, THE
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY NEAR 107W WILL REACH NEAR 120W BY SUN
EVENING, ENHANCING WINDS TO FRESH SPEEDS NEAR THE MONSOON AND
SUPPORTING ROUGH SEAS TO 9 FT AS THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE
WESTWARD.
ERA
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