562
AXPZ20 KNHC 062140
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT SEP 6 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2130 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURE
HURRICANE KIKO IS CURRENTLY CENTERED W OF THE AREA NEAR
16.1N/141.4W, WITH MINIMAL PRESSURE OF 954 MB AT 2100 UTC,
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105
KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM IS
STILL AFFECTING OUR FORECAST WATERS, WITH WINDS TO 40 KT AND SEAS
TO 15 FT MAINLY FROM 15N TO 17N AND W OF 139W. NUMEROUS MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION PREVAILS FROM 14N TO 16N AND W OF 139W.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES
MOVING WNW.
PLEASE READ THE LATEST KIKO CPHC FORECAST/ADVISORY AND PUBLIC
ADVISORY AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.
..TROPICAL WAVES
A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 07N TO 17N WITH AXIS NEAR 109W,
MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N
TO 19N BETWEEN 107W AND 117W.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 16N110W TO 15N134W.
ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION FROM KIKO AND THE TROPICAL WAVE,
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY, WITH STRONGEST ACTIVITY E OF 87W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
THE REMNANTS OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LORENA ARE ANALYZED AS A
1012 MB LOW PRESSURE W OF CABO SAN LAZARO NEAR 25N116W. THIS LOW
IS PROVIDING MODERATE N TO NE WINDS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO AND
WEST OF THE LOW CENTER WHILE GENTLE S TO SW WINDS ARE ONGOING E
OF THE LOW CENTER BETWEEN 24N AND 27N. SEAS ARE MODERATE IN MIXED
SW AND NW SWELL ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS. IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS
PREVAIL ALONG WITH SLIGHT SEAS. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE LIGHT TO
GENTLE AND SEAS ARE MODERATE IN SW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE REMNANT LOW OF LORENA WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT
NEAR PUNTA EUGENIA AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT TO GENTLE
SPEEDS ACROSS THE BAJA OFFSHORE WATERS. WINDS WILL ALSO DIMINISH
TO LIGHT TO GENTLE SPEEDS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 108W WILL MOVE WESTWARD AND BRING MODERATE
SE WINDS ACROSS THE SW MEXICAN OFFSHORES THROUGH TONIGHT.
OTHERWISE, MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP
OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA MON EVENING INTO WED AS THE REMNANTS OF
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST, SLIGHTLY INCREASING
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS
MAY PULSE IN TEHUANTEPEC MON AND TUE.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ARE ONGOING ACROSS BOTH THE CENTRAL
AMERICA OFFSHORE WATERS AND THE OFFSHORES BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS. SEAS ARE MODERATE IN SW SWELL. OTHERWISE,
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ONGOING FROM OFFSHORE
COLOMBIA TO OFFSHORE GUATEMALA.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN S
TO SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH WED NIGHT.
OTHERWISE, SCATTERED TO HEAVY SHOWERS ARE FORECAST FOR THE
CENTRAL AMERICA OFFSHORE WATERS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS ON HURRICANE KIKO.
A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 34N141W
COVERS THE WATERS N OF 20N AND W OF 120W. MODERATE OR WEAKER N
TO NE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. MODERATE SEAS ARE
NOTED ACROSS THE SUBTROPICAL WATERS. A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 107W
IS SUPPORTING MODERATE SW WINDS S OF THE MONSOON BETWEEN 110W AND
120W.
ELSEWHERE, CONDITIONS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN TROPICAL WATERS TONIGHT AS KIKO'S WINDS MOVE W OF THE
AREA. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ARE FORECAST N OF THE MONSOON AND
W OF 110W TONIGHT INTO WED NIGHT. OTHERWISE, THE TROPICAL WAVE
CURRENTLY NEAR 109W WILL REACH NEAR 120W BY SUN EVENING,
ENHANCING WINDS TO FRESH SPEEDS NEAR THE MONSOON AND SUPPORTING
ROUGH SEAS AS THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD.
ERA
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page