026
AXPZ20 KNHC 070303
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN SEP 7 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0225 UTC.
..TROPICAL WAVES
A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 07N TO 17N WITH AXIS NEAR 110W,
MOVING WESTWARD AT 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED FROM 06N TO 20N AND BETWEEN 105W AND 118W.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR
10N85W TO 16N110W TO 11N123W AND TO 16N133W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 04N TO 13N AND EAST OF 101W. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 06N TO 11N AND BETWEEN 115W AND 130W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
THE REMNANT LOW OF LORENA, CENTERED ABOUT ABOUT 140 NM SW OF
PUNTA EUGENIA, MEXICO, CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD.
MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE NOTED TO THE WEST
OF THE LOW. THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS,
INCLUDING THE GULFS OF CALIFORNIA AND TEHUANTEPEC, ARE UNDER A
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE REGIME THAT SUPPORTS LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND
SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE REMNANT LOW OF LORENA WILL DISSIPATE LATER
TONIGHT WELL WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO
LIGHT TO GENTLE SPEEDS ACROSS THE BAJA OFFSHORE WATERS. WINDS
WILL ALSO DIMINISH TO LIGHT TO GENTLE SPEEDS IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. OTHERWISE, MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO DEVELOP OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA MON EVENING INTO WED AS THE
REMNANTS OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST, SLIGHTLY
INCREASING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. FRESH
NORTHERLY WINDS MAY PULSE IN TEHUANTEPEC MON AND TUE.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PANAMA AND
COSTA RICA ARE ALSO AFFECTING THE NEARSHORE WATERS IN THE AREA.
SIMILAR STORM ACTIVITY IS EVIDENT IN THE GULF OF FONSECA. THESE
STORMS ARE LIKELY PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A RIDGE IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC AND
LOWER PRESSURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH RESULT IN
MODERATE SW WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH,
MAINLY SOUTH OF 06N. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE
SEAS ARE PRESENT ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN S
TO SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH WED NIGHT.
OTHERWISE, SCATTERED TO HEAVY SHOWERS ARE FORECAST FOR THE
CENTRAL AMERICA OFFSHORE WATERS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
HURRICANE KIKO HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL
EASTERN PACIFIC AND NO GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE
WATERS EAST OF 140W. HOWEVER, FRESH TO STRONG CYCLONIC WINDS AND
ROUGH SEAS ARE NOTED FROM 11N TO 21N AND WEST OF 136W. FOR MORE
DETAILS ON THIS HURRICANE, PLEASE VISIT HURRICANES.GOV.
THE REST OF THE TROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC IS DOMINATED BY A BROAD
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF OUR WATERS. MODERATE NORTHERLY
WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE PRESENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATERS NORTH
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND BETWEEN 115W AMD 135W. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND SOUTH
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH.
ELSEWHERE, CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN TROPICAL WATERS TONIGHT AND MON AS KIKO MOVES FURTHER
WEST OF THE AREA. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ARE FORECAST N OF THE
MONSOON AND W OF 110W TONIGHT INTO WED NIGHT. OTHERWISE, THE
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY NEAR 110W WILL REACH NEAR 120W BY SUN
EVENING, ENHANCING WINDS TO FRESH SPEEDS NEAR THE MONSOON AND
SUPPORTING ROUGH SEAS AS THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD.
DELGADO
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