255
WTPZ23 KNHC 120242
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132025
0300 UTC FRI SEP 12 2025
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 99.6W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 99.6W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 99.1W
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.5N 101.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.1N 103.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.6N 105.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.0N 107.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.4N 108.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.9N 109.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 20.7N 112.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 23.0N 114.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 99.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)
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