141
ABPZ20 KNHC 140549
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA, WHICH INCLUDES THE REMNANTS OF MARIO, IS PRODUCING A
BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF
NEXT WEEK AS IT TRACKS SLOWLY WESTWARD.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD DEVELOP WELL OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN OR SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AS
THE LOW TRACKS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS
PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER JELSEMA
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