056  
WTPZ23 KNHC 141437  
TCMEP3  
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132025  
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2025  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 110.2W AT 14/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.  
34 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 110.2W AT 14/1500Z  
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 110.0W  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.1N 111.3W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.9N 113.4W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.9N 115.4W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.1N 117.4W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.4N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.0N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 110.2W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
 
 
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