563
ABPZ20 KNHC 142326
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM MARIO, LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
AN ELONGATED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE, CURRENTLY LOCATED
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR GENERALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE LATTER HALF OF
THIS WEEK WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARIO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP3.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARIO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3.
FORECASTER MAHONEY/BUCCI/PASCH
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