130  
WTPZ23 KNHC 150236  
TCMEP3  
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132025  
0300 UTC MON SEP 15 2025  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 111.5W AT 15/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.  
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 111.5W AT 15/0300Z  
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.1W  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.9N 112.9W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.9N 114.9W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.1N 116.9W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.5N 118.7W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.7N 120.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.4N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 111.5W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER PASCH/MAHONEY  
 
 
 
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