226  
ABNT20 KNHC 150530  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
200 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2025  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:  
 
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC:  
A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS PRODUCING A  
LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH DRY  
AND STABLE AIR IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY  
OR SO, GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL  
DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THIS  
WEEK AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE  
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER JELSEMA  
 
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