039
WTPZ23 KNHC 150844
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132025
0900 UTC MON SEP 15 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 112.3W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 112.3W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 111.8W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.1N 113.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.4N 115.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.7N 117.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.0N 118.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 25.2N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 26.0N 120.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 112.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)
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