039  
ABNT20 KNHC 151128  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
800 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2025  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:  
 
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC:  
A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS PRODUCING A  
LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE  
DISTURBANCE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR  
DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS  
LIKELY TO FORM BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THIS WEEK AS THE  
SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE CENTRAL  
TROPICAL ATLANTIC.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER KELLY  
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