075  
ABPZ20 KNHC 151130  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:  
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL  
STORM MARIO, LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE  
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  
 
OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:  
AN ELONGATED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES  
OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR  
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD  
FORM BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THIS WEEK AS IT MOVES  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC.  
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
 

 
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARIO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO  
HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP3.  
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARIO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO  
HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3.  
 

 
FORECASTER JELSEMA  
 
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