608
ABNT20 KNHC 160527
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL92):
A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY
BETWEEN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM IS LIKELY TO FORM IN THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC:
A TROPICAL WAVE EMERGING OFF THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA IS PRODUCING
AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE MID TO LATTER
PART OF THIS WEEK AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH, MOVING FROM
THE EASTERN TO CENTRAL PORTION OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PAPIN
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